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An article discussing the AI-powered projections from Heavy Sports that suggest the Michigan football team has a higher chance of beating Alabama in the upcoming Rose Bowl than the Vegas consensus.
Heavy’s projections, powered by Quarter 4, give the Wolverines a 60 percent chance of beating the Crimson Tide, with a projected spread of Michigan by 3.5 points. This is more bullish on Michigan than the online sportsbooks, which have the spread at Michigan by 1.5 points, with one sportsbook at Michigan by 2.
The projections also expect a slightly higher scoring game than the sportsbook consensus, with a projected points total of 46.5, compared to the totals from the sportsbooks which range from 44.5 to 45 points.
Michigan’s strong performance this season, where they have outscored their opponents by 354 points with an average margin of victory of 27.2, is a significant factor in the projections. On the other hand, Alabama has outscored their opponents by 217 points with an average margin of victory of 16.7.
In comparison to ESPN Analytics’ Matchup Predictor, Heavy’s model gives the Wolverines a 60 percent chance of winning, while ESPN gives them a 55.6 percent chance.
In the other national semifinal, the Texas vs. Washington matchup, the projections from Heavy and ESPN also differ in their predictions, with Heavy giving Texas a 56 percent chance of winning, while ESPN gives them a 69.2 percent chance.
Overall, Heavy’s AI-powered projections show more confidence in the Michigan football team than the Vegas consensus and other sportsbooks, and provide a different perspective on the potential outcomes of the upcoming games.
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